NHC East Pacific Outlook
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2009
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
2. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER…UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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FORECASTER BLAKE
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