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Archive for the ‘National Hurricane Center’ Category

NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 5th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED

TROPICAL STORM GRACE…LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE

AZORES.



1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 5th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED

TROPICAL STORM GRACE…LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE

AZORES.



1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

NNNN




NHC East Pacific Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1100 PM PDT SUN OCT 4 2009



FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..



TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED

TROPICAL STORM GRACE…LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE

AZORES.



1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED

TROPICAL STORM GRACE…LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE

AZORES.



1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

905 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF LOW NORTHEAST OF THE

AZORES



1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED

ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS HAS CONTINUED

TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE ACQUIRING

TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES OVER THE NEXT

HOUR OR TWO…ADVISORIES ON A TROPICAL STORM WILL BE INITIATED

LATER THIS EVENING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE…GREATER THAN 50

PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE

NEXT FEW HOURS.



2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

905 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF LOW NORTHEAST OF THE

AZORES



1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED

ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS HAS CONTINUED

TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE ACQUIRING

TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES OVER THE NEXT

HOUR OR TWO…ADVISORIES ON A TROPICAL STORM WILL BE INITIATED

LATER THIS EVENING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE…GREATER THAN 50

PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE

NEXT FEW HOURS.



2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

800 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD

ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM

BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



2. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE CENTER OF A NON-TROPICAL

LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES

ISLANDS. THIS LOW IS MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD COOLER

WATERS AND DEVELOPMENT INTO SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT

LIKELY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS

SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT

48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER BROWN

NNNN




NHC East Pacific Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

500 PM PDT SUN OCT 4 2009



FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..



TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER BROWN

NNNN




NHC Atlantic Outlook

October 4th, 2009 Comments off

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic Graphical Outlook Image width="400" height="326" />



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2009



FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…



1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A

TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE

VERDE ISLANDS. HOWEVER…SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS

STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR

WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE…LESS

THAN 30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING

THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.



$$

FORECASTER BRENNAN

NNNN