NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E…LOCATED ABOUT
580 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3….AND
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E…LOCATED ABOUT
580 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3….AND
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
AREA LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS
SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A
DAY OR SO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
AREA LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS
SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A
DAY OR SO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
AREA LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS
SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A
DAY OR SO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE LESS ORGANIZED BUT
STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE LESS ORGANIZED BUT
STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER…IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE…
GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A DAY OR SO…ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE….GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT…OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN
NNNN

NHC East Pacific Outlook

NHC East Pacific Outlook


East Pacific Graphical Outlook Image

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE
YESTERDAY. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE….30 TO 50 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN
NNNN